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Future vision as the tide turns

MD and CEO of the global association of the exhibition industry, UFI, Kai Hattendorf looks into the association’s crystal ball and gives us five trends to watch in 2021:

 

We are in unchartered territory with a global pandemic disrupting lives and livelihoods. But, with successful trials paving the way for mass vaccinations, with better knowledge around Covid-19 and faster and more efficient testing schemes available, we are finding ways to live with and ultimately manage this virus. The tide is turning.

As we head towards 2021, the UFI team has – as every year – put together five trends that we believe will drive our industry’s development over the next 12 to 18 months. As always, these are based on conversations with and insights from our global UFI community as well as other stakeholders.

 

The threat will fade

First and foremost: This, too, will pass. The pandemic will end over time, even if the virus stays. Business will return, and life will return to more normality. The marketplaces and meeting places that we build and operate as an industry will be key for economic recovery, and a growing number of governments are understanding that. Think Australia with government funding. Think Germany separating tradeshows from mass gatherings and declaring that attending a show is essential travel. Think Singapore actively exploring the opportunities to benefit from the resurgence of the business events sector. If we, as the exhibition industry and as the bigger business events community stay united, continuing to speak to authorities and governments with one voice, other governments will follow.

 

We will bounce back

We will see our sector grow again in 2021. And in 2022, and 2023, and beyond. Part of that is simply mathematics, as we have lost an estimated 70% of revenues globally in 2020 year-on-year. Some markets will bounce back fast, others will need more time. But we know – both from our global research and from the ground in markets like China – that companies are eager to return to the tradeshow floor. Global media take note, as for instance the New York Times writes that, “For small and midsize companies, (tradeshows) are a window on the world”. Travel restrictions and complexities will mean that initially, national and regional shows will drive this recovery. Products and brands will more easily travel long haul than visitors. Global shows will glocalise. And, of course, we will safely run shows with Covid protocols in place.

 

Back to basics – focusing on the trade in tradeshow

The next 12 to 18 months will be about the ‘trade’ in ‘tradeshow’. It will be about buyers meeting sellers to do business. It will be about getting back to face-to-face and onsite after screen to screen/online. People and businesses will need to re-connect to re-charge their business relationships that are being kept alive through lockdowns and restrictions thanks to digital and online events. Tradeshow budgets will return – business events are and remain by far the most relevant marketing channel for small and medium enterprises, and they make-up the vast majority of our industry’s customers.

 

Digital is everyone’s challenge

The most discussed topic in 2021 might well be the future role of digital exhibitions and tradeshows. The generic ‘hybridisation’ discussion we have had in 2020 will evolve and become more specific. The pressure is on – everywhere. Organisers need to apply the high-speed learning curve that the industry is forced through during the pandemic. Our colleagues on the event tech and digital side will need to deepen their understanding about the face-to-face ecosystem that we all operate in. Let’s please, finally, put the ‘virtual tradeshow’ behind us! At its worst, a ‘hybrid’ exhibition multiplies complexities and minimises the financial result. At its best, it can expand reach significantly by creating year-round marketplaces. However, we have a long way to go before we can realise that potential.

 

The people make it happen

Right now, we are all suffering, and far too many talented event professionals have found themselves furloughed or out of a job. Big corporates are looking at event professionals and will begin to hire them as their own corporate meeting cultures evolve. Keeping people connected in these changing times will be a challenge, so industry community groups such as the Exhibition Think Tank Club will be powerful and important platforms for our industry. At the same time, Covid-19 has highlighted the importance of physical meetings. As a result, events will become an even more attractive industry to join. We have always attracted talent from very diverse backgrounds – be it by profession, race, nationality, gender, or skillset. This diversity has always made our industry stronger and that will continue to be the case in the post-Covid world.

It’s been a year like no other for our industry, and for the UFI team as well. I want to take this opportunity to thank all of you for amount of positive feedback and many comments that you have shared with us in the past months, they are inspiring and motivating.

2020 is about to end, with Christmas and the New Year ahead. Let me wish all of you a happy holiday season, and all the best for the new year! Please stay well.